Gaming Today Playbook: TNF Props | UFC 267 | CFB Week 9 Picks
Betting picks by sports bettors for sports bettors.
NFL player props went 5-4 last week for .74 units of profit. This Thursday we have a weird game that features the Green Bay Packers who are without two of their top offensive targets. I do have some plays this weekend, which I’ll detail below.
Furthermore, UFC 267 is going to be live and NOT on PPV starting at 2 PM est. The card is loaded and is a no-brainer for MMA fans who don’t need to pay the normal $69.99 PPV price tag.
Lastly, NBA season is kicking up and we have some early season takeaways that impact rookie of the year and other NBA futures bets. Check out Tony Mejia’s article below!
Packers vs. Cardinals: TNF Player Prop Bets
Looking for game analysis too? Gaming Today’s Bob Christ has the full breakdown on this week’s TNF game!
Kyler Murray Under 27.5 Rushing Yards -110 (FanDuel)
I haven’t been on Kyler Murray rushing yards much this year, and the reasons vary. My biggest reason is my fear that Kyler Murray is going to get injured and run less. I see this as a common theme in Murray’s recent games, his rushing stats from every game this season are below:
6 Attempts for 10 yards, 0 TD
7 Attempts for 6 yards, 0 TD
7 Attempts for 1 yard, 0 TD
6 Attempts for 39 yards, 0 TD
7 Attempts for 19 yards, 1 TD
5 Attempts for 31 yards, 1 TD
5 Attempts for 20 yards, 1 TD
Kyler is not running as he did at the beginning of the year. Furthermore, he has only gone over this number twice this year. He took a nasty hit last week...coaches are surely begging him to stop running the ball or duck down early. This number should be around 17 yards.
Aaron Jones TD Props! (FanDuel)
To score a touchdown -135
To score two touchdowns +500
These numbers were better yesterday. Still, I see the value. I wouldn’t bet two touchdowns lower than +450 so +500 is near my limit. It was +600 yesterday on FanDuel whereas other books had it around +300. The Packers need Aaron Jones to produce, we have seen him go for multiple touchdown games before.
Newsletter Exclusive: UFC 267 Prelim Picks And Parlay
Breaking down UFC 267 is particularly interesting because there are so many underdog bets to like. I broke down all of my plays this weekend in the mega card preview that I will link below. Exclusive for GamingToday newsletter subscribers I am going to put out a parlay and some prelim picks that I find particularly interesting.
UFC 267 Main Card Preview And Betting Picks
Parlay: Albert Duraev -325 + Magomed Ankalaev -325 = -141 (PointsBet)
Albert Duraev is a newcomer from the Russian circuit. He is one of the most impressive submission grapplers coming into the UFC now. This is his first fight and could win this one by submission, his opponent was submitted by Karl Roberson in his UFC debut in 2019.
Magomed Ankalaev is a future champion at light heavyweight, I explained why he was going to be a parlay piece in the Main Card Preview.
Makwan Amirkhani +265 ML (FanDuel) | +550 by decision
Amirkhani as a +260 underdog is giving his opponent -- Lerone Murphy -- a lot of respect. Amirkhani has a suspect gas tank but his wrestling is top-notch. Murphy was taken down 6 times by Zubaira Tukhugov and his takedown defense rate is just 41%. If he settles on his back, Amirkhani can steal two rounds by keeping Murphy on his back.
College Football Week 9 Preview, Betting Picks, And Odds
Join Travis Pulver and Rob Miech for this week’s college football gameday! The two college sports experts break down every major college football game and give their betting picks. They have been absolutely killing it this season!
Rob Miech: Michigan vs. Michigan State Betting Preview
Betting Recommendation: Michigan +4
Travis Pulver: Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma -- Texas vs. Baylor And More Betting Previews
Betting Recommendation: Texas Tech +19
Rob Miech: UNLV vs. Nevada -- Navy vs. Tulsa Betting Preview
Betting Recommendation: Over 47 Navy vs. Tulsa
UNLV +20.5
Existing User Promotions 10/28: Take Advantage Of The DraftKings Referral Upgrade -- Connecticut Users Get A Spread The Love From FanDuel
Each week I search the sports betting market for existing user sportsbook promotions. Sometimes they are awesome and other times they aren’t. Rest assured, you will not miss another “no-brainer bet” ever again.
DraftKings Sportsbook: DraftKings is ready to get more customers and is willing to reward you. This week they are offering $200 for every referral you bring to DraftKings. That means both of you will receive $200 in free bets if the referred customer deposits $200 or more. Check out the promo page for more info, expires 11/02.
FanDuel Sportsbook: This offer is just for Connecticut users. Going to the home page you will see a spread the love promotion on the Patriots game. Every 250 bets gets the line to move in the Patriots’ favor. This is essentially a free $50.
PointsBet Sportsbook: Bet on Sunday Night Football risk-free! Dallas vs. Minnesota is risk-free up to $20. Opt-in at the promos page.
Futures Bets Updates: NFL MVP and NBA Rookie Of The Year
Everyone knows how much I love cashing on future bets! NFL MVP odds have been all over the place and I have been saying for weeks that the Kyler Murray love was a bit too soon. He could keep making moves but Josh Allen is my pick.
Kris Johnson breaks down the current status of the NFL MVP Award.
NBA rookie of the year should be extremely competitive this year as there isn’t a clear cut choice yet. In fact, the favorite -- Jalen Green (+250) -- is not a recommended bet from GamingToday’s Tony Mejia.
See who Tony Mejia is backing for the rookie of the year award and more!
As always…. “Bet with your head, not over it…” - Furio Giunta
~ Erich Richter, GamingToday Sports Betting Expert
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